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ECL Update - 19/06/16

ECL Update - 19/06/16

All is calm in the Illawarra/ Shoalhaven and South Coast as they await the arrival of a deepening low pressure system later this evening.

There is a highented risk of water spouts/tornadic activity with this event.

Please note ECL's are very hard to predict depending on their track.

Will see the deepening low track in to Northern NSW this morning and should be located to the north of Sydney by this afternoon before jetting south along the eastern seaboard.

This a quite fast moving system so only expect 6-18hrs of drama.

The BoM Meteye has winds ramping up along the coastal fringes between 1600 - & 1900 hours this evening between Port Macqauire / Port Kembla to around 35-50knots

By Sunday late evening/early hours Monday locations such as the southern Illawarra, Shoalhaven and South Coast should start to feel the effects with winds 45+knots expected.

Currently the low looks intensifiy south of Port Kembla between approx 2100hrs and 0200am before raplidy weakening and moving away.

Depending on the low's position winds could become quite strong to gale force at times, rain fall again will be dependant of the positioning I would suggest falls of 50-150mm are quite likely with heavier isolated falls under any embedded thunderstorms.

There is a highented risk of water spouts/tornadic activity with this event.


Should see the tracking off the south coast of NSW in the early hours sliding to the SSE as it goes, coastal winds will be strong to gale fore with heavy rain fall along the coast. Flooding is possible overnight Sunday in to Monday.

Places like Canberra might pick up 10-50mm whilst the coast could see up to 200mm+ from Saturday to Monday again local heavier falls possible.

By around midday Monday things should contract to rain/showers.

***NOTES: This event is ever changing and VERY dependant on the positioning of the low when it forms. This can make a massive different to how much rain/wind places will get.

We will continue to monitor the situation and provide you with updates as we can over the weekend.

If local flooding occurs please stay OUT of flood water.
Image(s): BSCH, BoM Meteye